This is the Relay opening. Read the inputs, pause for a prediction, then open any move to inspect its modeled cost. Nothing on this sample submits an answer or saves progress.
Interview shops first
Interview shops and narrow the pilot scope.
Project invoice: $1,000 · Founder time: 12 hours.
Modeled cash after seven days: $172,000, after the $1,000 invoice and one week of $7,000 operating burn.
Interviewing addresses the declared issue. A later pilot is still needed: if you then run it, the authored observation is 6 of 6 repeating.
Run the pilot now
Run a six-shop paid pilot without first narrowing the scope.
Project invoice: $5,000 · Founder time: 24 hours.
Modeled cash after seven days: $168,000, after the $5,000 invoice and one week of $7,000 operating burn.
The authored observation is 5 of 6 repeating in the declared event; a six-shop sample is not a durable retention estimate.
Delegate a twelve-shop rollout
Thirty project hours, with twelve delegated, leave eighteen founder hours.
Project invoice: $7,000 + $2,000 delegation · Founder time: 18 hours.
Modeled cash after seven days: $164,000, after $9,000 of invoices and $7,000 operating burn.
The twelve-shop rollout is a separate cohort. It does not satisfy the promised six-shop pilot evidence.
Protect capacity this week
Protect capacity and continue serving existing shops.
Project invoice: $0 · Founder time: 8 hours.
Modeled cash after seven days: $173,000; no project invoice, but the $7,000 weekly operating burn still applies.
This preserves project capacity. The declared issue remains unresolved; no new pilot observation is made.
? How outcomes are modeled
How the model works. The opening has 40 weekly hours, with 16 reserved for existing obligations and 24 available for project work. Each operating move advances seven days. The ledger prorates $30,000 monthly burn by 7/30, or $7,000 for this move. The $45,000 conditional release is not current cash; it enters only after eligible proof, the investor checkpoint, and accepted terms.
What this result means. These are outcomes from the authored game rules and a six-shop sample, not observed customer behavior, a forecast, investment advice, or evidence of long-term retention. A named gap remains unknown until a later observation.
See the rules and scoring explanation.
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